Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jamaal Williams
Jamaal Williams

Player breakdown

Jamaal Williams

BYU · 2017 Draft Class

6-0212 lbs4th round, 134th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~31
High1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

61%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2017GNB161535564252622818
2018GNB161214643272100674
2019GNB141074601392535713
2020GNB141195052312361741
2021DET131536013261570758
2022DET172621,06617127301,139
2023NOR13106306118620368
2024NOR144816419570221
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2012BYUBig 12616677512273151,090
2013BYUBig 1242051,2027181251,327
2014BYUBig 1231095184847565
2016BYUBig 1252081,165117801,245

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

61%

ML model output

Context Prob

61%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.59s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 87.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
35 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

4.53s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
60 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
7.25s 3-cone — slow change-of-direction-0.161

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)