Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jase McClellan
Jase McClellan

Player breakdown

Jase McClellan

Alabama · 2024 Draft Class

5-10221 lbs6th round, 186th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~24
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

11%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2024ATL21332000032
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2020AlabamaSEC223245211246
2021AlabamaSEC04019111097288
2022AlabamaSEC0105613613164777
2023AlabamaSEC13166803613126929

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

11%

ML model output

Context Prob

11%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.20 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
21 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Short shuttle not recorded at combine+0.175

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
1 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
Physical upside: 0.58 — average athletic ceiling-0.300

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)