Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jason Huntley
Jason Huntley

Player breakdown

Jason Huntley

New Mexico St. · 2020 Draft Class

5th round, 172nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~28
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

27%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2020PHI5519010019
2021PHI11351000051
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2016New Mexico StateConference USA0401671835202
2017New Mexico StateConference USA064403134344747
2018New Mexico StateConference USA01095057475291,034
2019New Mexico StateConference USA01541,0909401921,282

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

27%

ML model output

Context Prob

27%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
25 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.300
BMI 0.0 — outside ideal range for NFL WR-0.284

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)