Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Javen Jacobs
Javen Jacobs

Player breakdown

Javen Jacobs

Utah State · 2026 Draft Class

5-10185 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

29%

SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2025Utah StateMountain West1362362443361723

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

29%

ML model output

Context Prob

29%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

48.2 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
3.91 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
5 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Physical upside: 0.53 — average athletic ceiling-0.300
43 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)