Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Javon Ringer
Javon Ringer

Player breakdown

Javon Ringer

Michigan St. · 2009 Draft Class

5-9205 lbs5th round, 173rd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~39
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

31%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2009TEN7848000048
2010TEN165123927440283
2011TEN12591851281870372
2012TEN22140312026
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2005Michigan StateBig Ten3122817519138955
2006Michigan StateBig Ten08649711496593
2007Michigan StateBig Ten32241,3466342781,624
2008Michigan StateBig Ten03701,59021251601,750

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

31%

ML model output

Context Prob

31%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.50s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 86.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
34 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

4.11s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
Rb rush td rate-0.411
8.54 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)