Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Javorius Allen
Javorius Allen

Player breakdown

Javorius Allen

USC · 2015 Draft Class

6-0221 lbs4th round, 125th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~35
HighMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

63%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2015BAL161375141453532867
2016BAL89340315049
2017BAL161535914462502841
2018BAL14411103351962306
2019NYG101036119045
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2012USCBig Ten063200032
2013USCBig Ten61086991218219918
2014USCBig Ten72501,3379404421,779

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

63%

ML model output

Context Prob

63%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.53s forty — average speed+0.395
Conference-adjusted speed score: 105.0 — speed measured against quality competition+0.280
Catch radius: 89.8 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

4.28s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
8.05 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.318
58 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)