Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jawhar Jordan
Jawhar Jordan

Player breakdown

Jawhar Jordan

Louisville · 2024 Draft Class

5-10193 lbs6th round, 205th overallAge at Draft: 25Age: ~27
HighMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

72%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2025HOU44319307340227
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2019SyracuseACC0151051287192
2020SyracuseACC029720534106
2021LouisvilleACC085700057
2022LouisvilleACC121337002874774
2023LouisvilleACC131811,12813212461,374

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

72%

ML model output

Context Prob

72%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.56s forty — slow speed+0.395
16 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188
Rb scrimmage yards per touch+0.176

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.84 — elite athletic ceiling-0.300
29 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
7.12 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production-0.259

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)