Player breakdown
Jay Finley
Baylor · 2011 Draft Class
7th round, 246th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~38
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
13%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3 | 55 | 207 | 2 | 18 | 152 | 359 |
| 2008 | Baylor | Big 12 | 7 | 149 | 865 | 7 | 7 | 141 | 1,006 |
| 2009 | Baylor | Big 12 | 1 | 79 | 370 | 1 | 6 | 47 | 417 |
| 2010 | Baylor | Big 12 | 6 | 183 | 1,155 | 11 | 9 | 76 | 1,231 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
13%
ML model output
Context Prob
13%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
24 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Short shuttle not recorded at combine+0.175
Top Negative Factors
No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.300
BMI 0.0 — outside ideal range for NFL WR-0.284