Player breakdown
Jaylen Wright
Tennessee · 2024 Draft Class
5-11210 lbs4th round, 120th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~23
EliteMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
83%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | MIA | 15 | 68 | 249 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 257 |
| 2025 | MIA | 10 | 70 | 288 | 2 | 5 | 44 | 0 | 332 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Tennessee | SEC | 4 | 68 | 355 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 377 |
| 2022 | Tennessee | SEC | 0 | 135 | 786 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 794 |
| 2023 | Tennessee | SEC | 12 | 137 | 1,013 | 4 | 22 | 141 | 1,154 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
83%
ML model output
Context Prob
83%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Conference-adjusted speed score: 114.1 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
4.38s forty — elite sub-4.4 speed+0.395
Catch radius: 90.0 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
Top Negative Factors
30 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Recruiting pedigree did not match production output-0.229
Rb rush share of scrimmage-0.182