Predicting the Pros
Predictions/J.D. Runnels
J.D. Runnels

Player breakdown

J.D. Runnels

Oklahoma · 2006 Draft Class

6th round, 195th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~42
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

7%

SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2003OklahomaSEC1000016118118
2004OklahomaSEC100014133133
2005OklahomaSEC013019188191

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

7%

ML model output

Context Prob

7%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
53.6 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.325
3 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Rb rush td rate-0.411
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)