Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jeremy McNichols
Jeremy McNichols

Player breakdown

Jeremy McNichols

Boise St. · 2017 Draft Class

5-9214 lbs5th round, 162nd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~30
EliteMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

75%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2018IND12400004
2020TEN1647204112550259
2021TEN14411560282401396
2024WAS175526149270288
2025WAS17442211251960417
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2014Boise StateMountain West015155115155310
2015Boise StateMountain West02211,24418463641,608
2016Boise StateMountain West02951,66323324502,113

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

75%

ML model output

Context Prob

75%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.49s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 86.8 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

4.28s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
9.87 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360
93 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)