Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jerome Ford
Jerome Ford

Player breakdown

Jerome Ford

Cincinnati · 2022 Draft Class

5-11210 lbs5th round, 156th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~26
Elite1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

86%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2022CLE13812000012
2023CLE1720481344431951,132
2024CLE141045653372250790
2025CLE1324730261030176
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2018AlabamaSEC073700037
2019AlabamaSEC3241143211125
2020CincinnatiBig 125734838851534
2021CincinnatiBig 12112001,24219182091,451

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

86%

ML model output

Context Prob

86%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.46s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 86.5 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
Rb rush yards per attempt+0.227

Top Negative Factors

26 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
6.91 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production-0.259
Conference-adjusted speed score: 95.5 — speed measured against quality competition-0.173

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)