Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jerome Harrison
Jerome Harrison

Player breakdown

Jerome Harrison

Washington St. · 2006 Draft Class

5-9201 lbs5th round, 145th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~43
Elite1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

77%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2006CLE10206009470107
2007CLE82314202190161
2008CLE15342461121161362
2009CLE1419486253422021,082
2010PHI84023918430282
2011DET41441013044
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2004Washington StatePac-12017490091069969
2005Washington StatePac-1203081,90016242062,106

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

77%

ML model output

Context Prob

77%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
1,537 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.396
4.47s forty — average speed+0.395

Top Negative Factors

4.07s short shuttle — elite lateral quickness-0.665
10.48 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360
34 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)