Player breakdown
J.K. Dobbins
Ohio St. · 2020 Draft Class
5-9209 lbs2nd round, 55th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~27
Medium1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
45%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | BAL | 15 | 134 | 805 | 9 | 18 | 120 | 0 | 925 |
| 2022 | BAL | 8 | 92 | 520 | 2 | 7 | 42 | 1 | 562 |
| 2023 | BAL | 1 | 8 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 37 |
| 2024 | LAC | 13 | 195 | 905 | 9 | 32 | 153 | 0 | 1,058 |
| 2025 | DEN | 10 | 153 | 772 | 4 | 11 | 37 | 0 | 809 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7 | 181 | 1,364 | 7 | 22 | 135 | 1,499 |
| 2018 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7 | 223 | 1,029 | 9 | 23 | 248 | 1,277 |
| 2019 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12 | 283 | 1,829 | 20 | 17 | 200 | 2,029 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
45%
ML model output
Context Prob
45%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1,601 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.396
Rb rush yards per attempt+0.227
41 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Top Negative Factors
No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
9.71 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360
Physical upside: 0.56 — average athletic ceiling-0.300