Player breakdown
Joe Mixon
Oklahoma · 2017 Draft Class
2nd round, 48th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~30
High1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
70%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | CIN | 14 | 178 | 626 | 4 | 30 | 287 | 0 | 913 |
| 2018 | CIN | 14 | 237 | 1,168 | 8 | 43 | 296 | 1 | 1,464 |
| 2019 | CIN | 16 | 278 | 1,137 | 5 | 35 | 287 | 3 | 1,424 |
| 2020 | CIN | 6 | 119 | 428 | 3 | 21 | 138 | 1 | 566 |
| 2021 | CIN | 16 | 292 | 1,205 | 13 | 42 | 314 | 3 | 1,519 |
| 2022 | CIN | 14 | 210 | 814 | 7 | 60 | 441 | 2 | 1,255 |
| 2023 | CIN | 17 | 257 | 1,034 | 9 | 52 | 376 | 3 | 1,410 |
| 2024 | HOU | 14 | 245 | 1,016 | 11 | 36 | 309 | 1 | 1,325 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Oklahoma | SEC | 0 | 110 | 749 | 7 | 25 | 345 | 1,094 |
| 2016 | Oklahoma | SEC | 0 | 168 | 1,183 | 8 | 32 | 449 | 1,632 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
70%
ML model output
Context Prob
70%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
1,363 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.351
Top Negative Factors
No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.300
BMI 0.0 — outside ideal range for NFL WR-0.284