Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Joe Williams
Joe Williams

Player breakdown

Joe Williams

Utah · 2017 Draft Class

5-11210 lbs4th round, 121st overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~33
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

24%

SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2015UtahBig 120793861962448
2016UtahBig 1251841,18598511,236

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

24%

ML model output

Context Prob

24%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.41s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 88.5 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
10 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

4.19s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
Rb rush td rate-0.411
17 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)