Predicting the Pros
Predictions/John Conner
John Conner

Player breakdown

John Conner

Kentucky · 2010 Draft Class

6-3185 lbs5th round, 139th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~39
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

6%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2010NYJ16844129053
2012CIN20000000
2013NYG13000631031
2014NYJ126200235155
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2006KentuckySEC114022125
2007KentuckySEC3637273774
2008KentuckySEC0144601085131
2009KentuckySEC0311582546204

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

6%

ML model output

Context Prob

6%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

1.10 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
8 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188
Short shuttle not recorded at combine+0.175

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
2 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)