Player breakdown
John Kelly
Tennessee · 2018 Draft Class
5-10216 lbs6th round, 176th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~29
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
3%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | LAR | 4 | 27 | 74 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 0 | 101 |
| 2019 | LAR | 4 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2021 | CLE | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Tennessee | SEC | 0 | 36 | 161 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 161 |
| 2016 | Tennessee | SEC | 4 | 83 | 560 | 4 | 6 | 51 | 611 |
| 2017 | Tennessee | SEC | 5 | 189 | 778 | 9 | 37 | 299 | 1,077 |
| 2025 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
3%
ML model output
Context Prob
3%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Catch radius: 87.5 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
4.99 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.206
13 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188
Top Negative Factors
4.51s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Rb rush td rate-0.411