Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jonah Coleman
Jonah Coleman

Player breakdown

Jonah Coleman

Washington · 2026 Draft Class

5-8220 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $790K
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

16%

SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2025WashingtonBig Ten1215575713303441,101

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

16%

ML model output

Context Prob

16%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

5.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.206
14 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188
Short shuttle not recorded at combine+0.175

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
Physical upside: 0.58 — average athletic ceiling-0.300

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)