Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jonathan Dwyer
Jonathan Dwyer

Player breakdown

Jonathan Dwyer

Georgia Tech · 2010 Draft Class

5-11229 lbs6th round, 188th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~37
MediumMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

48%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2010PIT1928000028
2011PIT7161230160129
2012PIT131566232181060729
2013PIT154919708640261
2014ARI21651128059
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2007Georgia TechACC0703747217391
2008Georgia TechACC01901,3281251431,471
2009Georgia TechACC82351,395145371,432

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

48%

ML model output

Context Prob

48%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.64s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 87.5 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
Rb rush yards per attempt+0.227

Top Negative Factors

4.67s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
2 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
12 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)