Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jonathon Brooks
Jonathon Brooks

Player breakdown

Jonathon Brooks

Texas · 2024 Draft Class

6-0216 lbs2nd round, 46th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~23
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

28%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2024CAR39220323045
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2021TexasSEC0211431112155
2022TexasSEC024179400179
2023TexasSEC101871,13910252861,425

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

28%

ML model output

Context Prob

28%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Rb rush yards per attempt+0.227
16 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188
Short shuttle not recorded at combine+0.175

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
1 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
Physical upside: 0.59 — average athletic ceiling-0.300

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)