Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jordan James
Jordan James

Player breakdown

Jordan James

Oregon · 2025 Draft Class

5-10205 lbs5th round, 147th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~22
HighMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

58%

SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2022OregonBig Ten043162516168
2023OregonBig Ten13986961114123819
2024OregonBig Ten132261,25315242021,455

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

58%

ML model output

Context Prob

58%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.55s forty — slow speed+0.395
32 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Short shuttle not recorded at combine+0.175

Top Negative Factors

1 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
39 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
7.10 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production-0.259

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)