Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jordan Scarlett
Jordan Scarlett

Player breakdown

Jordan Scarlett

Florida · 2019 Draft Class

5-11208 lbs5th round, 154th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~30
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

12%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2019CAR94900009
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2015FloridaSEC034181111182
2016FloridaSEC61657956423818
2018FloridaSEC412271741084801

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

12%

ML model output

Context Prob

12%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.47s forty — average speed+0.395
3.93 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
Catch radius: 86.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

4.63s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
Rb rush td rate-0.411
1 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)