Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jordan Todman
Jordan Todman

Player breakdown

Jordan Todman

Connecticut · 2011 Draft Class

5-9203 lbs6th round, 183rd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~36
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

27%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2012JAX13801008
2013JAX16762562141161372
2014JAX16321861251981384
2015PIT11422000022
2016IND16959000059
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2008ConnecticutFBS Independents040234324238
2009ConnecticutFBS Independents02351,18814211851,373
2010ConnecticutFBS Independents03021,5741418911,665

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

27%

ML model output

Context Prob

27%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.40s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 88.0 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

4.18s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
2 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)