Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Joseph Addai
Joseph Addai

Player breakdown

Joseph Addai

LSU · 2006 Draft Class

5-11214 lbs1st round, 30th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~43
EliteAll-Conference x11000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

78%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2006IND162261,08174032511,406
2007IND152611,072124136431,436
2008IND121555445252062750
2009IND15219828105133631,164
2010IND81164954191240619
2011IND12118433115930526
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2003LSUSEC1210851121492603
2004LSUSEC090653322280933
2005LSUSEC0163781818175956

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

75%

ML model output

Context Prob

75%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

1 All-Conference selection — proven conference-level excellence+0.494
Conference-adjusted speed score: 114.2 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
4.40s forty — average speed+0.395

Top Negative Factors

4.47s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
Rb rush td rate-0.411
54 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)