Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Joseph Randle
Joseph Randle

Player breakdown

Joseph Randle

Oklahoma St. · 2013 Draft Class

6-0204 lbs5th round, 151st overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~34
EliteMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

80%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2013DAL135416428610225
2014DAL165134334230366
2015DAL676315410860401
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2010Oklahoma StateBig 12080450235399849
2011Oklahoma StateBig 12101981,19323382381,431
2012Oklahoma StateBig 1272741,41714282241,641

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

80%

ML model output

Context Prob

80%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.63s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 89.5 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
42 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

8.04 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.318
Physical upside: 0.86 — elite athletic ceiling-0.300
101 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)