Player breakdown
Josh Jacobs
Alabama · 2019 Draft Class
5-10220 lbs1st round, 24th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~28
HighAll-Conference x11000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
59%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | OAK | 13 | 242 | 1,150 | 7 | 20 | 166 | 0 | 1,316 |
| 2020 | LVR | 15 | 273 | 1,065 | 12 | 33 | 238 | 0 | 1,303 |
| 2021 | LVR | 15 | 217 | 872 | 9 | 54 | 348 | 0 | 1,220 |
| 2022 | LVR | 17 | 340 | 1,653 | 12 | 53 | 400 | 0 | 2,053 |
| 2023 | LVR | 13 | 233 | 805 | 6 | 37 | 296 | 0 | 1,101 |
| 2024 | GNB | 17 | 301 | 1,329 | 15 | 36 | 342 | 1 | 1,671 |
| 2025 | GNB | 15 | 234 | 929 | 13 | 36 | 282 | 1 | 1,211 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Alabama | SEC | 0 | 84 | 548 | 4 | 13 | 169 | 717 |
| 2017 | Alabama | SEC | 0 | 43 | 276 | 1 | 12 | 165 | 441 |
| 2018 | Alabama | SEC | 0 | 94 | 495 | 11 | 15 | 171 | 666 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
56%
ML model output
Context Prob
56%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1 All-Conference selection — proven conference-level excellence+0.494
0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
3.26 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
Top Negative Factors
No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Physical upside: 0.58 — average athletic ceiling-0.300
40 career receptions — limited volume-0.278