Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Josh Robinson
Josh Robinson

Player breakdown

Josh Robinson

Mississippi St. · 2015 Draft Class

5-8217 lbs6th round, 205th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~34
HighMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

56%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2015IND517390633072
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2012Mississippi StateSEC155335138343
2013Mississippi StateSEC375414311112526
2014Mississippi StateSEC81771,12811283701,498

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

56%

ML model output

Context Prob

56%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.70s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 84.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
Rb rush yards per attempt+0.210

Top Negative Factors

3 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
Physical upside: 0.87 — elite athletic ceiling-0.300
42 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)