Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Julius Jones
Julius Jones

Player breakdown

Julius Jones

Notre Dame · 2004 Draft Class

5-10217 lbs2nd round, 43rd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~45
Low1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

30%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2004DAL81978197171090928
2005DAL1325799353521801,211
2006DAL162671,0844914201,226
2007DAL161645882232030791
2008SEA15158698214660764
2009SEA141776632352322895
2010NOR1048193017590252
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2003Notre DameFBS Independents91366304752682

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

30%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

25.3 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.47s forty — average speed+0.395
3.14 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360

Top Negative Factors

4.12s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
Rb rush td rate-0.411
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)