Player breakdown
Justice Hill
Oklahoma St. · 2019 Draft Class
5-10198 lbs4th round, 113th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~28
HighMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
57%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | BAL | 16 | 58 | 225 | 2 | 8 | 70 | 0 | 295 |
| 2020 | BAL | 12 | 12 | 60 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 80 |
| 2022 | BAL | 15 | 49 | 262 | 0 | 12 | 58 | 0 | 320 |
| 2023 | BAL | 16 | 84 | 387 | 3 | 28 | 206 | 1 | 593 |
| 2024 | BAL | 15 | 47 | 228 | 1 | 42 | 383 | 3 | 611 |
| 2025 | BAL | 10 | 18 | 93 | 2 | 21 | 169 | 1 | 262 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5 | 187 | 1,042 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 1,088 |
| 2017 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 10 | 245 | 1,347 | 14 | 30 | 191 | 1,538 |
| 2018 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 8 | 158 | 930 | 9 | 13 | 68 | 998 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
57%
ML model output
Context Prob
57%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
4.40s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 90.0 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
29 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Top Negative Factors
7.77 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production-0.318
48 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
5 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.241