Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Justin Hamilton
Justin Hamilton

Player breakdown

Justin Hamilton

Virginia Tech · 2006 Draft Class

7th round, 222nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~43
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

5%

SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2003Virginia TechACC800020233233
2004Virginia TechACC3753383525363

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

5%

ML model output

Context Prob

5%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
65.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.325
4 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Rb rush td rate-0.411
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)