Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson

Player breakdown

Justin Jackson

Northwestern · 2018 Draft Class

6-0199 lbs7th round, 251st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~30
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

15%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2018LAC13502062151350341
2019LAC72920009220222
2020LAC9592700191730443
2021LAC14683642221780542
2022DET16421701121011271
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2014NorthwesternBig Ten82451,18710222011,388
2015NorthwesternBig Ten02981,3444191471,491
2016NorthwesternBig Ten62661,30012332101,510
2017NorthwesternBig Ten62551,1549432661,420

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

15%

ML model output

Context Prob

15%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.52s forty — average speed+0.395
1,452 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.376
Catch radius: 91.2 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

4.07s short shuttle — elite lateral quickness-0.665
Rb rush td rate-0.411
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)