Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Kadarius Calloway
Kadarius Calloway

Player breakdown

Kadarius Calloway

New Mexico State · 2026 Draft Class

6-0210 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

8%

SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2025New Mexico StateConference USA11100341224175516

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

8%

ML model output

Context Prob

8%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

31.3 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
2.46 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
2 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Rb rush td rate-0.411
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)