Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ka'Deem Carey
Ka'Deem Carey

Player breakdown

Ka'Deem Carey

Arizona · 2014 Draft Class

5-9207 lbs4th round, 117th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~33
MediumMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

55%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2014CHI143615805570215
2015CHI114315923191178
2016CHI123212605550181
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2011ArizonaBig 12091425615203628
2012ArizonaBig 1203031,92923363032,232
2013ArizonaBig 1293221,71617261731,889

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

55%

ML model output

Context Prob

55%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

1,583 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.396
4.69s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 85.2 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

4.38s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
10.78 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360
Physical upside: 0.85 — elite athletic ceiling-0.300

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)