Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Kaleb Johnson
Kaleb Johnson

Player breakdown

Kaleb Johnson

Iowa · 2025 Draft Class

6-1224 lbs3rd round, 83rd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~23
HighMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

67%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2025PIT102869019078
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2022IowaBig Ten121427626427789
2023IowaBig Ten91104293325454
2024IowaBig Ten122401,53721221881,725

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

67%

ML model output

Context Prob

67%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.57s forty — slow speed+0.395
32 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Short shuttle not recorded at combine+0.175

Top Negative Factors

7.70 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production-0.318
29 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
4 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.241

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)