Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Kalel Mullings
Kalel Mullings

Player breakdown

Kalel Mullings

Michigan · 2025 Draft Class

6-2226 lbs6th round, 188th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~23
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $246K
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

8%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2025TEN93700007
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2022MichiganBig Ten892620026
2023MichiganBig Ten9321951113208
2024MichiganBig Ten1218594812635983

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

8%

ML model output

Context Prob

8%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.35 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
56.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.325
15 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
1 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)