Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Karlos Williams
Karlos Williams

Player breakdown

Karlos Williams

Florida St. · 2015 Draft Class

6-1230 lbs5th round, 155th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~33
HighMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

64%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2015BUF1193517711962613
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2013Florida StateACC08670511763768
2014Florida StateACC01386091024206815

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

64%

ML model output

Context Prob

64%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.48s forty — average speed+0.395
Physical upside: 0.99 — elite athletic ceiling+0.381

Top Negative Factors

4.46s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
31 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Recruiting pedigree did not match production output-0.229

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)