Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Keaontay Ingram
Keaontay Ingram

Player breakdown

Keaontay Ingram

USC · 2022 Draft Class

6-0221 lbs6th round, 201st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~26
HighMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

68%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2022ARI1227601421081
2023ARI8357404260100
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2018TexasSEC5133683324146829
2019TexasSEC6131745627216961
2020TexasSEC353250111103353
2021USCBig Ten41569115221561,067

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

68%

ML model output

Context Prob

68%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.53s forty — average speed+0.395
4.83 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.295
Conference-adjusted speed score: 105.0 — speed measured against quality competition+0.280

Top Negative Factors

Rb rush td rate-0.411
22 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
355.7 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison-0.264

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)