Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Keilan Robinson
Keilan Robinson

Player breakdown

Keilan Robinson

Texas · 2024 Draft Class

5-8191 lbs5th round, 167th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~26
HighMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

72%

SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2019AlabamaSEC039254200254
2021TexasSEC3453223757379
2022TexasSEC121759014179238
2023TexasSEC12121343856190

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

72%

ML model output

Context Prob

72%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

39.9 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.42s forty — average speed+0.395
1.98 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360

Top Negative Factors

29 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Physical upside: 0.87 — elite athletic ceiling-0.247
Recruiting pedigree did not match production output-0.229

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)