Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Keith Marshall
Keith Marshall

Player breakdown

Keith Marshall

Georgia · 2016 Draft Class

5-11219 lbs7th round, 242nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~32
EliteMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

83%

SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2012GeorgiaSEC511775981191850
2013GeorgiaSEC25624618111357
2014GeorgiaSEC0122400024
2015GeorgiaSEC0542883428316

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

83%

ML model output

Context Prob

83%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Conference-adjusted speed score: 126.9 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
4.31s forty — elite sub-4.4 speed+0.395
Physical upside: 1.01 — elite athletic ceiling+0.381

Top Negative Factors

23 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Recruiting pedigree did not match production output-0.229
386 avg yards/season — modest output-0.170

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)