Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Kenneth Dixon
Kenneth Dixon

Player breakdown

Kenneth Dixon

Louisiana Tech · 2016 Draft Class

5-10215 lbs4th round, 134th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~32
MediumMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

41%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2016BAL12883822301621544
2018BAL66033326510384
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2012Louisiana TechConference USA102001,1942710351,229
2013Louisiana TechConference USA5151917414851,002
2014Louisiana TechConference USA132401,23621263061,542
2015Louisiana TechConference USA017696817283541,322

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

41%

ML model output

Context Prob

41%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.56s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 88.8 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
81 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

4.28s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
7.17 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production-0.318
78 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)