Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Kenneth Gainwell
Kenneth Gainwell

Player breakdown

Kenneth Gainwell

Memphis · 2021 Draft Class

5-11201 lbs5th round, 150th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~27
High1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

68%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2021PHI16682915332531544
2022PHI17532404231690409
2023PHI16843642301830547
2024PHI17752901161160406
2025PIT1711453757348631,023
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2018MemphisAmerican Athletic14911652143
2019MemphisAmerican Athletic82221,42512445321,957

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

68%

ML model output

Context Prob

68%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.42s forty — average speed+0.395
Rb rush yards per attempt+0.227
16 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

9.74 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360
50 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
0.32 TDs/catch — primary red-zone usage pattern-0.196

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)