Player breakdown
Kenneth Walker III
Michigan St. · 2022 Draft Class
5-9211 lbs2nd round, 41st overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~25
EliteDoak Walker x1All-American x1All-Conference x11000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 3Heisman votes: 214NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
95%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | SEA | 15 | 228 | 1,050 | 9 | 27 | 165 | 0 | 1,215 |
| 2023 | SEA | 15 | 219 | 905 | 8 | 29 | 259 | 1 | 1,164 |
| 2024 | SEA | 11 | 153 | 573 | 7 | 46 | 299 | 1 | 872 |
| 2025 | SEA | 17 | 221 | 1,027 | 5 | 31 | 282 | 0 | 1,309 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Wake Forest | ACC | 0 | 90 | 555 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 570 |
| 2020 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6 | 119 | 579 | 13 | 3 | 30 | 609 |
| 2021 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 9 | 263 | 1,636 | 18 | 13 | 89 | 1,725 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
97%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1 All-Conference selection — proven conference-level excellence+0.494
Conference-adjusted speed score: 114.7 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
1,725 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.396
Top Negative Factors
8.18 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.318
13 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Rb best season rush share-0.220