Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Kenyan Drake
Kenyan Drake

Player breakdown

Kenyan Drake

Alabama · 2016 Draft Class

6-1210 lbs3rd round, 73rd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~32
High1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

63%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2016MIA163317929460225
2017MIA161336443322391883
2018MIA1612053545347751,012
2019ARI81236438281710814
2020ARI15239955102513701,092
2021LVR12632542302911545
2022BAL12109482417891571
2023GNB11000000
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2012AlabamaSEC542281500281
2013AlabamaSEC092694812135829
2014AlabamaSEC32211245159271
2015AlabamaSEC072347124250597

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

63%

ML model output

Context Prob

63%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Conference-adjusted speed score: 107.1 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
4.45s forty — average speed+0.395
3.95 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360

Top Negative Factors

4.21s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
41 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Recruiting pedigree did not match production output-0.229

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)