Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Kerwynn Williams
Kerwynn Williams

Player breakdown

Kerwynn Williams

Utah St. · 2013 Draft Class

5-8195 lbs7th round, 230th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~35
HighMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

66%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2014ARI55324602110257
2015ARI62714212160158
2016ARI10181572160163
2017ARI16120426110930519
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2010Utah StateMountain West081451412110561
2011Utah StateMountain West0724803763543
2012Utah StateMountain West02181,51215456972,209

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

66%

ML model output

Context Prob

66%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.48s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 85.5 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

4.15s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
11.33 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360
Physical upside: 0.86 — elite athletic ceiling-0.300

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)