Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ke'Shawn Vaughn
Ke'Shawn Vaughn

Player breakdown

Ke'Shawn Vaughn

Illinois · 2020 Draft Class

5-10214 lbs3rd round, 76th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~29
MediumMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

51%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2020TAM102610905341143
2021TAM123618024260206
2022TAM1517530319072
2023TAM62442022044
2024SFO32400004
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2015IllinoisBig Ten0157723616119842
2016IllinoisBig Ten0603013989390
2018VanderbiltSEC81441,00110131701,171
2019VanderbiltSEC71981,0289292861,314

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

51%

ML model output

Context Prob

51%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.51s forty — average speed+0.395
3.93 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360

Top Negative Factors

Rb rush td rate-0.411
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)