Player breakdown
Kevin Jones
Virginia Tech · 2004 Draft Class
6-0227 lbs1st round, 30th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~44
EliteAll-American x1All-Conference x11000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
95%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | DET | 15 | 241 | 1,133 | 5 | 28 | 180 | 1 | 1,313 |
| 2005 | DET | 13 | 186 | 664 | 5 | 20 | 109 | 0 | 773 |
| 2006 | DET | 12 | 181 | 689 | 6 | 61 | 520 | 2 | 1,209 |
| 2007 | DET | 13 | 153 | 581 | 8 | 32 | 197 | 0 | 778 |
| 2008 | CHI | 11 | 34 | 109 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 114 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 12 | 248 | 1,504 | 17 | 8 | 76 | 1,580 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
97%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1 All-Conference selection — proven conference-level excellence+0.494
Conference-adjusted speed score: 111.0 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
1,580 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.396
Top Negative Factors
8 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
6.96 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production-0.259
Rb best season rush share-0.220