Player breakdown
Khalil Herbert
Virginia Tech · 2021 Draft Class
5-8210 lbs6th round, 217th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~28
EliteMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
86%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | CHI | 17 | 103 | 433 | 2 | 14 | 96 | 0 | 529 |
| 2022 | CHI | 13 | 129 | 731 | 4 | 9 | 57 | 1 | 788 |
| 2023 | CHI | 12 | 132 | 611 | 2 | 20 | 134 | 1 | 745 |
| 2024 | CIN | 8 | 28 | 114 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 0 | 135 |
| 2025 | NYJ | 7 | 16 | 52 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 56 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3 | 44 | 189 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 227 |
| 2017 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2 | 120 | 663 | 4 | 8 | 38 | 701 |
| 2018 | Kansas | Big 12 | 0 | 113 | 499 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 538 |
| 2019 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2 | 43 | 384 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 384 |
| 2020 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 0 | 154 | 1,182 | 8 | 10 | 179 | 1,361 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
86%
ML model output
Context Prob
86%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.46s forty — average speed+0.395
1,361 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.351
Top Negative Factors
4.31s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
10 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Conference-adjusted speed score: 95.5 — speed measured against quality competition-0.173