Player breakdown
Kiero Small
Arkansas · 2014 Draft Class
7th round, 227th overallAge at Draft: 25Age: ~37
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
6%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | Arkansas | SEC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 |
| 2013 | Arkansas | SEC | 0 | 40 | 151 | 3 | 19 | 128 | 279 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
6%
ML model output
Context Prob
6%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
5 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188
Top Negative Factors
No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
1 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337