Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Knile Davis
Knile Davis

Player breakdown

Knile Davis

Arkansas · 2013 Draft Class

5-11227 lbs3rd round, 96th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~34
HighMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

67%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2013KAN1670242411750317
2014KAN161344636161471610
2015KAN1428721224096
2016KAN913230321044
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2009ArkansasSEC333163424167
2010ArkansasSEC71781,18313161281,311
2012ArkansasSEC3112377211157534

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

67%

ML model output

Context Prob

67%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Conference-adjusted speed score: 124.5 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
4.37s forty — elite sub-4.4 speed+0.395
Physical upside: 1.01 — elite athletic ceiling+0.381

Top Negative Factors

4.38s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
2 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
29 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)